SPC - No watches are valid as of Sun Feb 5 00:56:01 UTC 2012

No watches are valid as of Sun Feb  5 00:56:01 UTC 2012.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Sun Feb 5 00:56:01 UTC 2012

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Feb  5 00:56:01 UTC 2012.

SPC Feb 5, 2012 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
      
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST SAT FEB 04 2012

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS A BLOCKING PATTERN EVOLVES OVER THE WRN U.S. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD...A POSITIVELY TILTED ERN U.S. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SEWD ACROSS THE NERN AND MIDWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
PREVAILS ELSEWHERE.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS...
BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS ONGOING ATTM FROM FAR NWRN
GA/NERN AL SSWWD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER IN FAR SERN LA.
STRONGEST/MOST ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS CROSSING CENTRAL AL
ATTM...WHERE A LOCALLY STRONGER GUST OR TWO MAY OCCUR NEAR THIS
BOWING PORTION OF THE LINE SEGMENT.  OVERALL HOWEVER...INSTABILITY
CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THIS REGION WITH TIME...AND WITH STORMS
CURRENTLY SUB-SEVERE AND LITTLE EVIDENCE THAT ANY APPRECIABLE
INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS LIKELY...WILL DROP 5% WIND PROBABILITY
ACROSS THE REGION.

...S TX...
ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ATTM ACROSS
DEEP S TX...WITHIN ZONE OF MODEST CAPE BASED ABOVE H8.  WHILE
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT/NEWD SPREAD OF CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...CAPE/SHEAR COMBINATION APPEARS INSUFFICIENT FOR EVEN
ELEVATED SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..GOSS.. 02/05/2012


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